An equity fund manager holds a portfolio comprising the largest UK stocks and benchmarks the FTSE 100 index.
They are concerned about the possibility of a sharp correction in UK equities within the next three months and would like you to evaluate their hedging choices.
FTSE 100 index daily prices, past twelve months. Source: Bloomberg
The fund manager has expressed a preference to use exchange-traded derivatives for liquidity and transparency.
- Market Portfolio setup
- Use price data (for index and futures) of a date of your choice, between 11/05/2014 and the submission deadline. Quote the day you have chosen.
UKX
- Size of the portfolio: Units of the FTSE 100 index held in the portfolio are your birthday times 1,000 (e.g. if you were born on 29/02/1992 the fund holds 29 x 1,000 = 29,000 units of the FTSE 100 index.
(appropriate setup: 5 marks)
- Hedging
- Explain the risk faced by the fund manager, and how futures could be used to hedge it. (15 marks)
Theory Section:
- Index is always derivative based.
- Why and how hedge could be used
- Would June or September futures be most appropriate and why? (5 marks)
- Want to make sure and protect the underlying assets (willing to take June to in comparison on September one)
- How many futures should be bought or sold to hedge the position? Show your calculation. Use the appropriate tools to show an equation in your word processor. (5 marks)
- It is necessary to introduce the theory before the calculation.
- Confirm your result using the OSA (Option Scenario Analysis) function on Bloomberg. Show a screen cast of the function 32) Hedge position. What is the equivalent to the hedge ratio in the OSA function? (10 marks)
- Show and explain, using the functions 33) Scenario Matrix and 35) Multi-Asset Scenario, the effect of your hedge on the profit and loss of your portfolio in different market scenarios. Show screen casts of your results. (10 marks)
- Making reference to academic literature, discuss the use and limitations of the hedge ratio. (20 marks)
- Are there any additional risks and considerations to be taken into account when using futures to hedge a portfolio in a situation like this? Discuss, making reference to academic literature. (20 marks)
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