- With regard to Efficient Market Hypothesis, test FTSE 100 data covering the most recent 2 year period for weak form efficiency using regression analysis and hypothesis testing. You are specifically required to:
- Create an equally weighted portfolio (A) of 5 random companies* from the index. Calculate monthly logarithmic returns for that portfolio.
- Create an equally weighted portfolio (B) of 5 companies using technical analysis (i.e. for the first month of the 2 year period select 5 companies with the steepest positive slope of the regression line representing daily share price movements). For this you need to screen the entire index.
- Correctly specify the hypothesis for testing weak form market efficiency.
- Test the data representing logarithmic returns of the two portfolios for weak form efficiency by means of the one tail independent samples T-test selecting an appropriate level of significance.
- Discuss your findings in terms of the results of the test.
- Critically evaluate generalizability of your findings in terms of contemporary empirical study findings on weak form market efficiency and Random Walk Theory.
- Select a company** from FTSE 350 and calculate its Weighted Average Cost of Capital. Demonstrate how the WACC changes with the level of indebtedness of the company. You are specifically required to:
- Select and justify an appropriate data set representing historical levels of indebtedness and the corresponding WACC for the chosen company.
- Conduct correlation analysis of the two variables (WACC and debt).
- Interpret the results with reference to the traditional view on the WACC and theories such as Modigliani and Miller.
- Identify one specific investment project that this company discloses most information about and with reference to it discuss the relationship between the WACC and investment appraisal
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